MILITARY NON-MILITARY AND PARAMILITARY THREATS

Wydawnictwo: WOJSKOWEJ AKADEMII TECHNICZNEJ
Format: B5
Wydział: Organizacja systemów bezpieczeństwa
The publication presents theoretical grounds for considering a threat as potential danger. The classification of threats was based primarily on the original division of threats, taking the source of their origin as the basic criterion of division. The typology of threats due to the presence of a military factor in the threat is then presented, dividing threats into military, non-military and paramilitary.
Referring to military threats, the authors presented the genesis of the phenomenon of war and the image of wars over the centuries. Particular attention has been paid to the relationship between the armaments used and the course of an armed conflict. Much attention has been paid to the threats posed by weapons of mass destruction.
The part concerning non-military threats presents the author’s own typology of these threats based on the dominant sources of their occurrence. Among the threats generated by nature, floods, adverse atmospheric and geological phenomena and human, animal and plant diseases and epidemics were indicated. Among non-military threats resulting from human activity, cyberterrorism, failures of critical infrastructure systems, construction and traffic disasters and threats resulting from the conflicting nature of social relations were pointed out. Among the latter, political, cultural, social and economic threats were recognised.
The paramilitary threats have been presented in three groups. Group one is terrorism using military means. Here, particular attention has been paid to terrorist threats using biological, chemical and radioactive means. The second group are the environmental threats resulting from the development of military technologies. The third group included other paramilitary threats such as illegal transfer of military technology and accidental explosions of explosives and unexploded ordnance found after the end of hostilities.
In the last chapter of the monograph the authors look into the future and try to indicate the directions of development of threats. After a theoretical introduction to the subject of threat forecasting, the most important processes occurring in the modern world and likely to have a significant impact on the evaluation of current threats and the emergence of new threats were presented.
In addition to an extensive theory, the monograph contains numerous examples of past, current and anticipated threats.